Sunday, August 03, 2008

The Credibility of Climate Models

Once again, evidence that the antibodies are starting to kick in. Models, computer or otherwise, are useful, even necessary, for science to work. But their function is to show us what we don't know. One way this happens is when the model makes a prediction that diverges from reality.

Which is exactly what all the current climate models do: make predictions that diverge from reality.

Which is fine if the goal is to examine the various models' failures and advance our understanding of global climate. The problem is when they are instead treated as holy writ and anyone criticizing them equated with holocaust deniers and UFO-ologists.

We'll see how long it takes the IPCC politicians to launch the typical ad-hominem attacks against the authors.

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